Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
External reference: https://openalex.org/T10007
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Yield curve factors predict growth in some countries, not inflation
Analysis of yield curve predictive power for growth and inflation across 40 countries finds stronger performance in developed and CEE economies and low-credibility contexts.
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Two inflation regimes detected in WAEMU
Advanced cyclical turning point indicators for inflation in WAEMU using regime-switching models reveal that external factors like oil prices and imported inflation, beyond central bank control.
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Why Higher Trend Inflation Makes Monetary Policy More Costly in South Africa
Fiscal DSGE analysis for South Africa showing higher trend inflation increases costs via price dispersion; lower trend inflation reduces these costs.

