Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

Study finds exchange rate movements don't significantly affect EU trade balances; domestic absorption and inflation prove more important drivers of external adjustment.

Analysis of how fiscal shocks influenced inflation in Japan over four decades, revealing demand and monetary factors rather than fiscal imbalances as primary drivers.

Machine learning analysis reveals strengthened monetary policy transmission but flattened Phillips curve dynamics, with regime-dependent behavior during post-pandemic inflation.

Study of 1958 OECD banks shows that negative interest rate policies reduce loan loss provisioning, with effects varying by inflation, bank size, and specialization.

Analysis shows allocative efficiency deterioration, driven partly by sectoral volatility, explains most US productivity slowdown in the 1970s and 2000s.

Forward guidance monetary policy easings appreciated the dollar during the Great Recession through flight-to-safety effects and inflation expectations, contradicting interest rate parity.

Explore how central bank independence and transparency affect inflation volatility in small open economies like Tunisia through game theory and empirical analysis.

New approach to Heath–Jarrow–Morton framework using unweighted function spaces and functional PCA, enabling better yield curve modeling with support for negative interest rates.

Detailed mathematical reconstruction of the Tennessee-Eastman benchmark process model with previously unavailable parameters and explicit documentation of assumptions.

Study on Dynamic Price Monitoring forecasting household affordability of essential commodities in Lusaka, Zambia, using household survey and price data analysis.

Industry-level analysis of S-curve exchange rate effects on Pakistan-Japan bilateral trade reveals limited efficacy of depreciation for improving trade balance outcomes.

Analysis of monthly data from 1990 to 2024 shows energy prices affect wheat, maize, and soybean prices directly through fuel costs and indirectly through fertilizers.

ARDL–ECM analysis reveals limited short-run monetary transmission to bank credit in Morocco, with dynamics driven by prudential and balance-sheet channels rather than interest-rate mechanisms.

Examination of exchange rate effects on sectoral credit allocation in Tanzania using ARDL modeling, revealing heterogeneous short-run and long-run investment responses across five key sectors.

Time-frequency analysis of Southern Oscillation Index spillovers to grain futures reveals regional asymmetries in climate vulnerability, with SAFEX maize showing significant SOI predictive capacity.

Examines how fixed-weight price indices diverge from true inflation measures in time-dependent pricing models, with implications for monetary policy assessment during high inflation periods.

Time-varying VARMA framework for macroeconomic forecasting in Nigeria addresses parameter instability from external shocks using state-space estimation with Kalman filtering.

Cointegration analysis of India's money, forex, and equity markets from 2015–2026 reveals partial integration with policy-constrained transmission and asymmetric adjustment.

Study integrates VAR models with machine learning algorithms to forecast macroeconomic variables across African economies, demonstrating improved accuracy for inflation and FDI dynamics.

Analysis of central bank strategies balancing inflation control with growth, examining policy instruments, trade-offs, and framework effectiveness across economies.