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Fiscal contraction linked to lower NPLs in the long run
Study shows fiscal consolidation reduces non-performing loans long-term but increases them temporarily, using bank data from Guyana. Oil prices and efficiency matter most.
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Wartime food prices rose sharply during the Indonesian War of Independence
Analysis of 8,600+ staple food prices across Indonesia (1945-49) shows severe wartime inflation and subsistence-level nutrition for urban laborers, reshaping understanding of conflict dynamics.
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PAD-S frames psychotherapy micro-decisions as safety-gated steps
Framework formalizes how therapists rapidly assess patient capacity and calibrate intervention intensity using four observable signals and safety-gated decision rules in psychotherapy.
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Study maps how AI guardrails shape language and control
Study examines how major AI companies implement guardrails as sociotechnical control mechanisms, revealing how code and language jointly regulate discourse in large language models.
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Preventive maintenance reduces rural water point downtime
Markov decision process optimization of communal water pump maintenance in rural sub-Saharan Africa demonstrates 41% average downtime reduction through preventive maintenance integration.
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Airport gate design is tied to traveler experience
Research examining relationships between airport boarding gate terminal design elements—lighting, amenities, aesthetics, seating—and traveler experience using mixed-methods analysis.
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Two inflation regimes detected in WAEMU
Advanced cyclical turning point indicators for inflation in WAEMU using regime-switching models reveal that external factors like oil prices and imported inflation, beyond central bank control.
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Why Higher Trend Inflation Makes Monetary Policy More Costly in South Africa
Fiscal DSGE analysis for South Africa showing higher trend inflation increases costs via price dispersion; lower trend inflation reduces these costs.