Market Dynamics and Volatility

External reference: https://openalex.org/T11059

  1. Listing changes how policy uncertainty affects R&D investment
    Study shows IPOs have dual effects on R&D spending in China: listing encourages investment under policy uncertainty, but political connections gained reduce it.
  2. Market greenness predicts liquidity shocks
    Market greenness predicts liquidity shocks tied to ESG investor preferences, and ESG-related liquidity better explains stock returns than standard measures during 2015-2019.
  3. Geopolitical risk affects stock markets differently by regime
    Study reveals geopolitical risk impacts stock returns asymmetrically: negatively in bullish markets, positively in downturns. Emerging markets may hedge geopolitical shocks.
  4. China coal prices show long-term links with inventory and logistics
    Analysis of China's steam coal price formation reveals that port inventory, shipping costs, and oil prices drive pricing dynamics more than production alone, with implications for energy policy.
  5. Geopolitical risk is linked to lower stock returns in Vietnam
    Study analyzes geopolitical risk's negative impact on stock returns in Vietnam's emerging market, finding that firms sensitive to political uncertainty demand higher expected returns.
  6. Natural disaster risk links differently to DeFi and NFTs
    Study reveals natural disaster uncertainty differentially affects cryptocurrencies, DeFi assets, and NFTs across market regimes during geopolitical and inflationary crises.
  7. Energy prices are linked to agricultural prices directly and through fertilizers
    Analysis of monthly data from 1990 to 2024 shows energy prices affect wheat, maize, and soybean prices directly through fuel costs and indirectly through fertilizers.
  8. Fund holding networks are linked to higher systemic financial risk
    Network analysis reveals fund holdings among Chinese financial institutions amplify systemic risk through governance convergence, price synchronicity, and asset homogenization mechanisms.
  9. Natural gas prices and green bonds show a changing two-way link
    Quantile-on-quantile analysis of natural gas price and green bond market interactions reveals nonlinear, time-varying relationships within sustainable development contexts.
  10. Oil revenue shocks affected Russia differently after 2014
    Subsample analysis reveals structural breaks in Russia's oil revenue shock transmission mechanisms post-2014, showing reversed fiscal policy effects and strengthened monetary policy inflation.
  11. UAE-specific crises produced negative firm returns; global crises often positive
    Study examines how global and domestic crises impact UAE financial markets using STL decomposition, revealing asymmetric responses across firm characteristics and event categories.
  12. SOI spillovers were strongest for SAFEX maize
    Time-frequency analysis of Southern Oscillation Index spillovers to grain futures reveals regional asymmetries in climate vulnerability, with SAFEX maize showing significant SOI predictive capacity.
  13. Market-capitalization regret variables predict future stock returns
    Study reveals market capitalization as a key psychological reference point for investor regret, with stronger predictive power for stock returns than traditional return-based regret measures in.
  14. TV-SCVARMA outperforms classical VARMA in Nigeria
    Time-varying VARMA framework for macroeconomic forecasting in Nigeria addresses parameter instability from external shocks using state-space estimation with Kalman filtering.
  15. Geopolitical risk tweets predicted some market changes
    Multilingual Twitter sentiment analysis reveals geopolitical risk measures predict financial market movements during Ukraine War using Granger causality across 39 assets in seven languages.