Econometrics

  1. Spatial modification improved mortality-rate model fit
    Spatial modification of the Lee-Carter mortality model using cluster detection methods improves forecasting accuracy by capturing age-time patterns that conventional approaches miss.
  2. Dynamic likelihood estimation can improve hazard rate fitting
    Semiparametric method for hazard rate estimation combining parametric efficiency with nonparametric flexibility through dynamic local likelihood smoothing
  3. Asymptotic theory of range-based multipower variation
    Realized range-based multipower variation theory for jump-robust volatility estimation in sparse high-frequency asset price data with microstructure noise considerations.
  4. Preference recovery can be robust to consumer search
    Method for identifying consumer preferences from discrete choice data when information is incomplete, using cross-derivatives of choice probabilities robust to unspecified search protocols.
  5. The Dynamics Of Private Equity Funds When Drawdowns, Performances and Distributions are Correlated
    A stochastic modeling framework for private equity fund dynamics using correlated diffusion processes for drawdowns, performance, and distributions, with adjustment for reporting biases.